The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs meet later today in Super Bowl 55 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.

While Super Bowl odds are adjusting to the market, sports wagers are being made around the country, including some really, really big ones and sports bettors continue to analyze the best Super Bowl prop bets heading into the Big Game. Will Tom Brady win his seventh Super Bowl or will Patrick Mahomes win his second in a row? Let’s analyze the Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds and break down how we anticipate Super Bowl LV playing out.

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Super Bowl odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chiefs -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Buccaneers +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Chiefs -3 (-110) | Buccaneers +3 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 55.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Super Bowl game notes

  • The Chiefs are attempting to win back-to-back Super Bowls after topping the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 last year.
  • Kansas City went 14-2 in the 2020 regular season and got past the Cleveland Browns (22-17) and Buffalo Bills (38-24) in the AFC playoffs.
  • The Buccaneers are in The Big Game for the first time since winning Super Bowl XXXVII 48-21 against the Oakland Raiders. They’re in the playoffs for the first time since the 2007 campaign.
  • Tampa Bay went 11-5 in the regular season and beat the Washington Football Team (31-23), New Orleans Saints (30-20) and Green Bay Packers (31-26) in the NFC playoffs.
  • Mahomes, the MVP of Super Bowl LIV, completed 66.3% of his passes for 4,740 yards and 38 touchdowns against just 6 interceptions in 15 regular-season games. He has thrown for 4 TDs with zero interceptions in two playoff games.
  • Brady, a six-time Super Bowl champ who’s in his first season with Tampa Bay, passed for 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns with 12 picks in the regular season. He threw for 860 yards with 7 TDs and 3 INTs in three playoff games.
  • The Chiefs and Bucs met at Raymond James Stadium in Week 12 with KC winning 27-24. Mahomes threw for 462 yards and 3 touchdowns – all to WR Tyreek Hill. Brady went 27-for-41 for 345 yards with 3 TDs and 2 picks.
  • Kansas City was a 1.5-point favorite against San Francisco in Super Bowl LIV. The game played to the Under on a projected total of 52.5 points.
  • The Bucs defense ranked seventh in the NFL with 5.1 yards allowed per play. The Chiefs were 16th with 5.6 yards allowed per play.
  • KC was 16th with 30:14 of possession per game; Tampa Bay was 21st at 28:58.
  • The Buccaneers were plus-8 in the turnover margin, while the Chiefs were plus-6 with fewer takeaways and giveaways.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Key injuries

Chiefs

  • OT Eric Fisher (Achilles) out
  • LB Willie Gay (ankle) out
  • WR Sammy Watkins (calf) questionable

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (knee) questionable
  • TE Cameron Brate (back) questionable

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Super Bowl LV Prediction and Picks

Prediction

Chiefs 33, Buccaneers 28

Super Bowl money line (?)

Brady is widely considered the greatest quarterback of all time, but a head-to-head win by Mahomes and a second straight Super Bowl for the Chiefs would leave that conversation open.

What Tampa Bay does best on defense is eliminate the run game. Against Kansas City, that only puts the ball in Mahomes’ hands more often. He also has the mobility and athleticism to evade Tampa Bay’s pass rush, which ranked fifth by ESPN’s Team Pass Rush Win Rate.

Take the CHIEFS (-165) to go back-to-back and win Super Bowl 55.

New to sports betting? As the Super Bowl LV favorite, you’d need to bet $165 at -165 odds on the Chiefs to win in order to profit $100. The -165 odds represent a 62.26% implied odds of winning, or 20/33 fractional odds.

Also see: Super Bowl Prop Bets

Super Bowl spread (?)

The Buccaneers’ best hope in Super Bowl 55 is to keep Mahomes and the Chiefs offense off the field. They’ll look to feed RBs Ronald Jones II and Leonard Fournette as often as possible.

Brady also has plenty of receiving weapons capable of working the clock via the passing game, but it will all be for naught against Mahomes, head coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy. If the Chiefs are able to get a lead, they’ll then turn to rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire to drain the clock and keep Brady away from an attempted comeback.

Back KANSAS CITY -3 (-110) to win by at least 4 points.

If you’re new to sports betting, in order for a bet on the Chiefs ATS to cash, they need to win by at least 4 points. If they win by three it would be a push and a win by 1 or 2 points would be a lost bet.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast

Super Bowl Over/Under (?)

As mentioned, the Chiefs fell shy of the projected line in last year’s championship game, though that was mostly the fault of the 49ers.

Expect a high-flying aerial attack in perfect conditions in Tampa, Fla. We’re backing the Chiefs to win, so we’re also expecting Mahomes to be at his best.

Take the OVER 55.5 (-105) with Brady and the Bucs doing more to contribute to the total than bettors received from the Niners last year.

If you are new to sports betting, betting the Over would require both teams to combine for at least 56 points for an Over bet to win.

Want action on the Big Game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit #. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

  • Buccaneers’ Barrett says Mahomes, Aaron Rodgers are ‘practically the same’ (Chiefs Wire)
  • WATCH: Gronkowski gifts healthcare works Super Bowl tickets (Bucs Wire)


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